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The secrets the world’s top experts use to make really good predictions
The Washington Post: History often isn’t kind to those who go on the record making predictions. Albert Einstein once said that nuclear energy would never be a thing, while Margaret Thatcher predicted that a woman
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New Research From Psychological Science
Read about the latest research published in Psychological Science: Opportunity Cost Neglect Attenuates the Effect of Choices on Preferences Adam Eric Greenberg and Stephen A. Spiller When someone makes a decision, the cost of not choosing
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Superforecasters: The Art of Accurate Predictions
Will Venezuela cut gasoline subsidies? Will the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates before the end of the year? Your guess is as good as mine, unless you happen to be what University of Pennsylvania
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Your Friends Sort of Know When You’ll Die
Pacific Standard: Your friends know you better than you know yourself. They even know how long you’ve got to live. Well, roughly speaking they do. It’s not that they’ve got extrasensory perception, time machines, or membership
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Your computer knows you better than your friends do
Science: Are you a shy person with a snarky sense of humor who secretly craves hugs? You might be able to conceal that from your friends, but not from your computer. A new study of
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How Long Will You Live? Ask Your Friends.
The Huffington Post: When actor James Gandolfini died in the summer of 2013, at age 51, a prominent cardiologist described him as “a heart attack waiting to happen.” The award-winning Sopranos star was overweight and inactive, and