APS

2026 APS Annual Convention

New Developments In Psychological Time Series Modeling

Friday, May 29, 2026 · Barcelona, Spain

Oral · How We Know: Methods, Measurement & Open Science

We showcase four new methodological developments for intensive longitudinal psychological data: multilevel Hidden Markov Models for latent state dynamics, joint models linking daily processes to clinical outcomes and dropout, Bayesian multilevel VAR models with uncertainty for network inference, and a tutorial on systematic model checking for time series models.

Chairs & Discussants

  • Jonas HaslbeckChair
    University of Amsterdam
  • Emmeke AartsCoChair
    Utrecht University

Presentations

  1. Uncovering Dynamics In Psychological Time Series with Multilevel Hidden Markov ModelsEmmeke Aarts
  2. Predicting Dropout In Intensive Longitudinal Data: Extending the Joint Model for Autocorrelated DataFridtjof Peterson
  3. Using Features of Dynamic Networks to Guide Treatment Selection and Outcome Prediction: The Central Role of UncertaintyBjörn Siepe
  4. Model Checking for Vector Autoregressive ModelsJonas Haslbeck