APS

2022 APS Annual Convention · 2022

Examining Students’ Performance Predictions and Confidence over Time

Chicago, IL · May 2022

Poster · Cognitive

  • Meltem Karaca
    University of Massachusetts, Lowell
  • Lisa Geraci
    University of Massachusetts Lowell
  • Nayantara Kurpad
    University of Massachusetts Lowell
  • Marcus Lithander
    University of Massachusetts Lowell
  • Marcus Lithander
    KTH Royal Institute of Technology
  • Steve Balsis
    University of Massachusetts Lowell

Abstract

Students are sometimes poorly calibrated when predicting their exam performance. We examined if students’ calibration could improve over the course of a semester, and, if not, whether confidence in predictions might decrease, reflecting metacognitive learning. Counter to this hypothesis, results showed that both calibration and confidence remained stable.

Overconfidence

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