APS
30th APS Annual Convention · 2018
The Spare Fallacy in Bowling: Greater Confidence with Less Likelihood of Success
- Paul Price
California State University, Fresno - Julio Ruiz
California State University, Fresno - Jessica Bustos
California State University, Fresno - Rodrigo Escobedo
California State University, Fresno - Lana Silva
California State University, Fresno
Abstract
We found that in bowling people are more confident in their ability to pick up two-pin combinations (e.g., the 1-2) than the corresponding front pin alone (e.g., the 1 pin). This is analogous to the famous conjunction fallacy in probability judgment, although we continue to explore why it occurs.
Judgment and Decision Making
