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Self-Proclaimed Experts Often Claim To Know More Than They Really Do
Gizmodo: ifteen years ago, psychologists showed that the most incompetent people are the worst at recognizing their own incompetence, confirming what most of us already suspected. Now it turns out that even highly competent people
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Superforecasters: The Art of Accurate Predictions
Will Venezuela cut gasoline subsidies? Will the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates before the end of the year? Your guess is as good as mine, unless you happen to be what University of Pennsylvania
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Why Angry Men Are More Influential Than Angry Women
TIME: Righteous anger is one of Hollywood’s favorite devices for delineating an inspirational figure.Atticus Finch has it in To Kill A Mockingbird, Peter Finch’s newscaster has it in Network, Mr. Davis has it in 12
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When Decisions Satisfy, and When They Upset
Should I sign that contract? Should I fire that lazy employee? Should I eat lunch at my desk or go out? Business professionals face a daily dose of decisions like these — some that we
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How Being Laid Off Affects Your Job Prospects
Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey recently sent 330 employees emails letting them know the company—in an effort to control costs as its user base declines—would be eliminating their jobs. And the layoff is small in comparison to
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Confidence Spills Over Across Unrelated Decisions
Research on metacognition, or “thinking about thinking,” has explored important puzzles about how humans monitor and control their thoughts. One of these puzzles is why people’s beliefs don’t match with reality — such as why