APS

2026 APS Annual Convention · 2026

Deciding to Rule-Break In the Presence of Uncertainty and Relative Desperation - An Agent-Based Modeling Approach

Barcelona, Spain · May 2026

Integrative Science Symposia (ISS) Flash Talks · The Reciprocal Dynamics of Individual and Collective Cognition

  • Brendan Lam
    Yale University
  • Arielle Baskin-Sommers
    Yale University
  • Victor Gonzalez-Jimenez
    Tillburg University

Abstract

We developed a model that simulates non-violent crime (e.g., property theft) by combining economic theories of decision-making under uncertainty with theories of relative deprivation and ecological theories of desperation thresholds. We find that the interaction of blunted uncertainty aversion and higher relative desperation contributes the most to the crime rate.

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