Dan Gardner: A lucky guess doesn’t prove you’re a genius
At the time of writing, the results of the American mid-term elections are not known. And yet, I can predict three outcomes with near-metaphysical certainty.
One, some pundits will have predicted the results.
Two, all pundits will explain the results.
Three, most of those predictions and explanations will be — to use John Nance Garner’s famous description of the vice presidency — “not worth a bucket of warm piss.”
http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2010/11/02/dan-gardner-a-lucky-guess-doesnt-prove-youre-a-genius/
