Currently browsing "Forecasting"

The Good Judgment Project Seeks Participants

The Good Judgment Project is a 4-year research study begun in mid-2011 and organized as part of a government-sponsored forecasting tournament. The GJP is looking for people around the world […]... More>


The Best Way to Predict the Future


Busted Bracket? Science Suggests Strategy to Improve March Madness Picks

Every year, people pore over the available stats in making March Madness picks, but research suggests that thinking about the games in precise detail may actually lead to worse picks. ... More>


When We Use Fate As A Scapegoat


Belief in Fate: A Way to Avoid Making Tough Decisions?